Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 18.036490 20.379617 22.853438 25.654029 28.730499 32.001072 35.734843
2025-01-19 14.134737 17.288619 20.830985 25.081844 30.020488 35.553077 42.194398
2025-01-26 12.329058 16.167059 20.715093 26.448366 33.424863 41.578594 51.763840
2025-02-02 11.429001 15.931836 21.521644 28.869630 38.162948 49.408105 63.913349
2025-02-09 10.274594 15.182643 21.548500 30.247561 41.643226 55.868195 74.745803
2025-02-16 8.923215 13.968124 20.797946 30.485391 43.604781 60.463769 83.430176
2025-02-23 7.589079 12.582718 19.634928 30.005971 44.504357 63.652343 90.381188
2025-03-02 6.540187 11.459099 18.690194 29.689637 45.523073 66.961588 97.552607
2025-03-09 5.780922 10.665749 18.118539 29.809945 47.088687 71.008730 105.808653
2025-03-16 5.038754 9.795929 17.329409 29.512880 47.988012 74.118275 112.846216
2025-03-23 4.749470 9.635380 17.608622 30.819768 51.263194 80.664856 124.872593
2025-03-30 4.341251 9.214131 17.421067 31.366284 53.399978 85.634074 134.812324
2025-04-06 3.688402 8.283494 16.330903 30.432387 53.281086 87.397521 140.357539
2025-04-13 3.101040 7.387814 15.204250 29.336621 52.822279 88.610293 145.124162
2025-04-20 2.941599 7.307463 15.496613 30.627601 56.213055 95.743896 158.894314
2025-04-27 2.968162 7.609184 16.500258 33.193926 61.783829 106.405072 178.288998
2025-05-04 2.839227 7.565434 16.855836 34.640934 65.569705 114.426998 193.925644
2025-05-11 2.571869 7.182836 16.532406 34.849886 67.286674 119.258093 204.818698
2025-05-18 2.250143 6.626960 15.814964 34.282135 67.638738 121.914073 212.403946
2025-05-25 1.987180 6.164464 15.232814 33.910457 68.286460 125.036764 220.777158
2025-06-01 1.800183 5.855576 14.930292 34.033733 69.782908 129.557349 231.447706
2025-06-08 1.594730 5.464185 14.412374 33.696206 70.427212 132.676867 239.947173
2025-06-15 1.548183 5.487508 14.792771 35.149016 74.360876 141.383195 257.670981